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The Placepot Picks: 15th Apr

This week we are looking at the Placepot bet again and we will explain how this works in a bit more detail as well as sharing our own placepot picks for each of the days at Aintree


Saturdays Placepot

After a couple of near misses, and a huge dividend of over £270 on Friday, we go again & have our selections again plus our race by race preview for you here on The Cheeky Punts


You can also find our picks for the big one, the Grand National at 5.15pm here as well


The Selections

1:45: 4, Jonbon

2:25: 1, Good Time Jonny 12, West Balboa

3:00: 8, Irish Point 7, Hermes Allen

3:35: 5, Home By The Lee 10, Maries Rock

4:15: 4, Gold Cup Bailly 3, Nassalam

5:15: 7, Delta Work 15, Le Milos 26, Corach Rambler



Verdict

Race 1 - 1:45pmn

Jonbon is all the rage here and is not hard to see why, he brings in the best form-line when chasing home El Fabiolo at Cheltenham and is clearly the class act in the field. I thought they would have moved him up in trip already but even so he should be plenty good enough and will have to under perform or make a bad mistake to be beaten here today.


Notlongtillmay is owned by Alan Rogers, a proud scouser who played left back for Nottingham Forest before getting into racehorse ownership and this looks to have been the plan all season. He ran a huge race at Cheltenham and the worry would be how much of an affect this will have on him but could be really popular.


Calico for me is the one that will outrun his price. A lot was made of Jonbon under performing at Warwick but Calico got him ‘at it’ early doors and made him dig deep and has since beaten Pay The Piper who was an eye-catcher on the first day of the meeting. If you can get some value in the W/O the favourite market he would be of interest and certainly one for your place-pots.


Race 2 - 2:25pm

Very competitive handicap hurdle that will take some solving, well worth having a few selections in the race rather than banking.


Good Time Jonny has only been raised 5lbs for his performance when winning at Cheltenham which is surprising as did well to win given his passage through and was actually going away at the finish. It’s not ideal backing a horse after a hard race but should still be well handicapped from 147 and no surprise to see go very close once again.


West Balboa would be my main selection for the race for Team Skelton who looks really well treated from a mark of just 135. She last won the Lanzarote Hurdle at Kempton from a 5lb lower mark and is always a strong form line and is very interesting the shrewd yard kept her for this race rather than go to Cheltenham.


Mill Green is a consistent sort and could be of interest for placepot purposes and if conditions turn testing after the rain Bardenstown Lad may be well backed and will cherish the underfoot conditions.


Race 3 - 3:00pm

Hermes Allen was punted off the boards before disappointing at Cheltenham and I am happy to take him on again here today, though the softer the conditions the better his chances as seemed the skip through the heavy ground at Newbury in the Challow Hurdle.

Irish Point has to be of interest on the form-line behind Marine National and conditions look ideal, it is hard to see him out of the frame if running to form and is another that skipped the Cheltenham Festival.


Dark Raven would be popular but a slight worry if he will fully get home over this extended trip as did weaken badly in the Supreme Novices over 2miles and this is sure to be run at a good gallop. He may look the winner for a large majority of the contest before being found out.


Authorised Speed would be a player if the heavens opened as loves soft ground, the worse the conditions the better his chance. Springwell Bay is stepping up in grade here but is trained by a master and be interesting to see how gets on, he could be the each-way value at the current prices.


Race 4 - 3:35pm

Trappy race, no harm in putting three in your place-pots for this race despite there only being the 10 runners.


My main fancy at the prices would be Home By The Lee for Joseph O’Brien whose yard are starting to come back to form and had a winner with Banbridge on the opening day. He was well touted for the Cheltenham Festival and if back to his best could be the answer for this tricky puzzle.


Maries Rock is very interesting, but you need to forgive the poor performance at the Festival just a month ago. She is blinkered for the first time and with the step up in trip likely to bring more improvement you can see why she is popular once again.


Dashel Drasher is a solid horse, always runs his race and could be one for place-potters and never throws in a stinker. He did have a hard race at Cheltenham though and may pay for this afternoon’s contest.


Meet And Greet should not be under estimates for trainer Oliver McKiernan as was only 3 lengths behind Home By The Lee at Leopardstown over Xmas and was last seen chasing home Blazing Khal at Navan.


We have the Cheltenham Festival form advertised again with Flooring Porter and Sire Du Berlais and again would be no surprise to see either pick up the prize if back to their best, a really tricky puzzle and not a race I would be getting involved in personally.


Race 5 - 4:15pm

Another very tricky puzzle, I have spent a fair while looking at this race and still not overly confident about anything to be brutally honest.


I do like the look of Kinondo Kwetu if the ground is not too soft, the better the ground the better his chance. He has had a wind operation since we last saw him and this could bring further improvement for a very shrewd Northern yard.


Midnight River was really well backed at Cheltenham so the yard obviously feel they have a well handicapped horse but likely to have had a tough race and will need to bounce back.

Nasslam would prefer softer conditions, if the rain arrives his chances improve and likely to go close as well touted for Cheltenham and clearly feel they can win from a mark of 143.


I do like Gold Cup Bailly who has put up decent speed figures to suggest that is better than a 143 horse, and though was beaten a long way last time out that was in Graded company and could bounce back in handicap company.


Handsworth catches the eye for a trainer who does not bring horses over that often and gets in at the bottom of the weights, would be very significant if strong in the market.


Race 6 - 5.15pm

You can find our full Grand National previews and picks here from all our experts today


You can play the Placepot with the Tote over at https://tote.co.uk/ & good luck if you want to join what should be a bumper placepot pool at Aintree


 

What is a Placepot?


The most popular placepot is through the Tote and they define this as;

  • Tote Placepot is your first bet of the day, a renowned raceday ritual and our most popular bet.

  • To win the Tote Placepot you need to pick a horse to place in the first six races at any UK, Irish or selected International meeting.

  • With an average payout of £407, the Placepot is a great way to win big off small stakes and, at the 2019 Cheltenham Festival, one customer won £182,567.80 from just a £2 bet.

  • You can play the Placepot at tote.co.uk from 4pm the day before all UK and Irish meetings and on major international meetings like the Breeders' Cup, Hong Kong International Races and Prix de l'Arc de Triomphe


Why is the Placepot a good bet?

It is not only the payouts that make the Placepot a great bet. If you're looking to enjoy a day of racing, the Placepot can keep you entertained all afternoon. The Placepot provides an interest in the first six races on a card and for a relatively small stake, you can land a share of big Placepot fund dividends.


Winning the Tote Placepot

To win the Placepot you just need to have a horse placed in the first six races at any meeting.

How many places are on offer depends on how many runners are in a race and the same terms apply to the Tote Place pool.


Choosing your horses

With the Placepot, it can pay to take on the favourites. The biggest dividends are won when the most popular horses fail to make the places. Simply picking the favourite will generally lead to a poor payout, the bigger prizes come when the 'pot' is bigger. And as a lot of players will go with the favourites, your slice of the pie if they win will be smaller.


If one of the legs has a particularly large field or it's a difficult race to judge, it's probably worth having more than one selection. Equally, it is often wise to have a couple of favourites on your side, seen as single line "Bankers" in suitable races.


Multiple lines in a Placepot

You can select more than one horse in each race, but this will mean that your total stake will increase. To calculate your total stake, just multiply the number of selections in each leg. For example:

  • Leg 1: 3 selections

  • Leg 2: 2 selections

  • Leg 3: 1 selection

  • Leg 4: 3 selections

  • Leg 5: 2 selections

  • Leg 6: 1 selection

3 x 2 x 1 x 3 x 2 x 1 = 36 lines.


In this example, your stake would be x36. So in this example if you had a 10p unit stake, the total cost of your bet becomes £3.60 (36 x 10p)


Your winnings are then calculated by your winning lines and paid out as a proportion of the winning dividend. So if all your combinations placed, you would have £3.60 x dividend. If just one selection from each leg one then you would have 10p x dividend.

 


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