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The 'Experts' Views: The Grand National

Updated: Apr 15, 2023

For the big one we have asked a number of our regular racing writers for their views so you can see what the Racing experts fancy for The Grand National as well as our own preview for the big race


Big thanks to @TAKracingadvice, @WorthATryTips, @RacingTicTac and our own @KnowsOdds for their thoughts for the day


AINTREE FESTIVAL 2023 🚨

DELTA WORK ew 9/1 7p Sky (NAP)

NOBLE YEATS ew 11/1 7p Sky

LE MILOS ew 14/1 7p Sky

MR INCREDIBLE ew 14/1 7p Sky


DELTA WORK ran a creditable 3rd in last years renewal of the Grand National after winning the Cross Country at Cheltenham just 24 days previously! He slowly crept into the race and by the time they jumped the 2nd last fence he was in a line of three for the lead with the eventual winner NOBLE YEATS and the 2nd ANY SECOND NOW. Slightly squeezed out after the fence and just seemed to run out of stamina after jumping the last. Beaten 20 lengths at the finished. Today he’s going to be a massive 19lb better off with NY and 9lb better off with ASN. He’s also had an extra 7 days to get over his Cheltenham exertions which will definitely help and jockey Keith Donoghue said he wasn’t stopping at the end of that 3m 6f race! He will physically be carrying 5lb less for todays race than last year and won’t mind all the rain that fell yesterday, infact it will be a positive.


Riding a horse in a race like the GN is a bit like driving, you obviously need to make sure you don’t crash/fall yourself but it’s the other drivers/horses you need to be more aware of!! Avoiding fallen horses and loose horses plays a huge part in getting round in the race let alone winning it!! So you need ability and stamina, but more importantly you need that big of luck as well! I think DELTA WORK will run a similar race to last year and just try and keep out of trouble and slowly work his way through the field then if he can get over the last fence and still in contention then it could be his day!


Delta Work @ 9/1 Each Way, 7 Places (SkyBet)

Third in the race last year behind Noble Yeats & Any Second Now. Both are 8lbs worse off, while Gordon Elliott has managed to campaign Delta Work perfectly to get him running off the same mark as last year.


Carach Rambler @ 10/1 Each Way, 6 Places (Bet365)

I think Carach Rambler will be a popular selection amongst many punters for the Grand National & as he has drifted out to double figure odds, he now becomes more appealing.

We all know he stays, but he is always played late. So as long as he isn't caught too far back and doesn't encounter traffic problems or any fallen horse becoming an obstruction, he will surely be played late and its then just whether he hasn't given too much ground to those ahead of him.


Galvin @ 20/1 Each Way, 7 Places (SkyBet)

I can't understand the price discrepancy between Delta Work & Galvin after both went head to head in the Cross Country Chase at Cheltenham last month. Going over the last, they were side by side before Delta Work found a bit more on the run-in. If you fancy Delta Work, then you have to fancy Galvin


Our Power @ 18/1 Each Way, 10 Places (Bet365 Extra Places)

Our power is not the biggest of horses, so he may not suit the fences he encounters in the Grand National, but he is well worth chancing after looking a much improved eight-year-old.

It will be his first attempt at the trip, but he just seems to stay very well over 3 miles, and there looks to be no reason he won't stay further. If he can stay out of harms way during the race and be played late, he may just stay on to potentially grab a place at a good price.


Grand National 2023


The world's most famous steeplechase ; a complete lottery at the best of times but attracts punters from all ends of the country. 

I will make three selections , purely as one of those punters to say I have an interest in this race with some study certainly included as a rule before parting with any cash no matter how small.


LONGHOUSE POET 20/1


Ran a blinder in this race last year and only faded into 6th late on after a mistake two out. A bold effort and shows his ability to handle the course and jump the obstacles. Though he is on the same mark here, he comes into this race with that experience of the course and also enjoys a weight turnaround with a few of those that were in and around him from last year. Comes back a 9yo and stronger whilst looking in good nick this season in a prep likely aimed for this. 


COKO BEACH 33/1


Another who ran in the race last year and finished 8th, gave a bold show and went very well for a long way. Whilst he is now 5lb higher, he also enjoys a weight pull with some of those in thah race. Carries 11st flat here and is capable of producing another bold show with that experience behind him. Comes back an 8yo and should be stronger this time round. Likely to sit prominently and stays very well so could be dangerous if getting into a rhythm. 


FORETESCUE 80/1-100/1


Bit more of a long shot here with this one. He is 3lb out of the weights and more than likely find this all a bit too much but there’s a chance he could run well. Unseated in this race last year and looked very tired when doing so. Still, he often shapes as if he wants to slog it out and a marathon could well be up his street, if he can get into a rhythm. Carries only 10st2lb and comes with vital experience of the course ; having also finished 4th in the Becher Chase back in the winter. Very respectable effort. Comes back as a 9yo and should be stronger this year. Blinkered for the first time could be a positive.

I've had a look over all the stats for the big one and read lots of previews and thoughts from different people and it all confirms the same thing to me, there are cases to be made for any number of these today.


I do like Le Milos who would be a great first National winner for the Skeltons, Ain't that a Shame will be a popular pick with the Racheal Blackmore effect and another good story for trainer Henry De Bromhead. Willie Mullins comes here mob handed as ever and i was quite surprised to see he's only ever won this twice given the dominance we see from the yard, I expect the Irish to do well here and I'd not put anyone off a Mullins trained horse, with Carefilly Selected at a big price probably being my pick of his


I may be foolish here but I'm going to write off Noble Yeats as I think he's got too much to do this year and at that price there are more appealing each way shots. And one of those is The Big Breakaway who went in to my notebook when finishing 2nd in the Welsh National (remember those stats about other nationals!). At a big price he could be a good each way chance in what looks like it could be a wide open renewal this year



We've also asked the boys from The Cheeky Punts HQ for their selections for today and we've managed to narrow this down to;


Le Milos

Mister Coffey

Galvin

Coko Beach

Carefully Selected


We've also asked one of our Twitter Racing experts in @HallyBhoy11 who has gone with Vanillier & Capodanno


 

The Cheeky Punts Preview

Corach Rambler has leading chance, but I'd be worried about his run style for this race where is is a huge advantage to be ridden prominently, primarily as you miss the mass trouble and fallers in behind.


Noble Yeats will be popular, last years winner, and may even go off favourite as he's sure to be popular with the Liverpool crowd. He does carry a huge weight this year with 11stone 11lbs, and on the back of a hard run in the Gold Cup just 4 weeks ago it is a massive ask. If you play in-running or see him getting into contention around 2 or 3 fences out he will be the one finishing best.


Aint That A Shame is inexperienced with just the 7 runs over fences to date


Le Milos if ridden behind the pace would be of interest, carrying just 10stone 11lbs


Delta Work has to be on a shortlist, the softer the ground the better his chance and 1lb lower than when 3rd behind Noble Yeats last year he could go close again but may find one just that more progressive and better handicapped. He could be really well backed if the conditions are as soft and testing as day 2.


Gaillard Du Mesnil will be popular with Paul Townend opting to ride for Willie Mullins but is another who had a hard race when winning the NH Chase at Cheltenham and is also ridden in the rear. Being only 7 years old also he looks the type to have stronger claims in the future rather than for this years contest.


Vanillier is inexperienced but will have to come into calculations if the ground turns testing. He simply loves heavy ground and has a weight of just 10stone 6lbs to carry. He could be very interesting if the ground is heavy and no surprise to see him well backed.


Another Irish raider with a similar profile is Velvet Elvis who looks massively overpriced as will also love the ground and has the ideal profile for the race.


Galvin is a horse I have actually backed ante-post and remains of interest still, especially with Davy Russell in the saddle for his last ride in the race. The better the ground, the better his chance but the main worry will be if he has the stamina to fully get home. He could be the type to look the likely winner before having to settle for place money especially if the rain continues to fall


Mr Incredible is very quirky, and you would want to see him jump off as has refused. The crowd and atmosphere would be a worry, but if does jump off will be staying on and looks well handicapped from 145.


Longhouse Poet looked the winner for a long way in last years race, and could be the same story this year. Again, it is a worry if he gets home as was disputing the lead 2 fences out before being beat 34 lengths and hard to understand why will suddenly get the trip this year. Could be one for place purposes as has the ideal credentials other than the stamina worries.


Any Second Now has been brutally given 167 by the handicapper which should stop him from having any chance of winning. No surprise to see him going well again but has been murdered at the weights and be a miracle to see him win from the mark.


The Shortlist

1. Le Milos

2. Corach Rambler

3. Delta Work

4 Vanillier

5. Velvet Elvis



Good luck to everyone and let’s hope we can that winner between us. And don’t forget you can find all the best of today from us across all our racing pages here





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